Prediction: Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko
Team pages: Polona Hercog · Varvara Lepchenko
Prediction summary
Winner
Polona Hercog
Varvara Lepchenko
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Polona Hercog
7-3 (W-L)
Varvara Lepchenko
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polona Hercog
2–0
Varvara Lepchenko
(2 last)
- 05 Dec2-0 13-8W
- 06 Jul2-1 18-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polona Hercog 1505 · Varvara Lepchenko 1489
| Polona Hercog | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Polona Hercog 2–0 Varvara Lepchenko (2).
Statistics
| Polona Hercog | Varvara Lepchenko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.6 | 10.2-10 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 48.5% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Polona Hercog 2 – 0 Varvara Lepchenko (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polona Hercog 2–0 Varvara Lepchenko
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/23 WTA Montevideo | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07/17 Wimbledon Women | 2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polona Hercog
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Maria Jose Rico Sanchez WTA Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 29/10 | Valeriya Strakhova WTA Queretaro · Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 27/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda WTA Queretaro · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Madalena Matias WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Naiktha Bains W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
Varvara Lepchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Christasha McNeil W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Cristina Ramos Sierra W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polona Hercog vs Varvara Lepchenko?
Our model gives 57% to Polona Hercog, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.