Tennis · WTA Sopo · 09/11, 16:00

Prediction: Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini

Team pages: Tatjana Maria · Luisina Giovannini

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Tatjana Maria Luisina Giovannini
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tatjana Maria 7-3 (W-L)
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Luisina Giovannini 7-3 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tatjana Maria 1560 · Luisina Giovannini 1527
Tatjana MariaLuisina Giovannini
Our model55%45%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Tatjana MariaLuisina Giovannini
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 80% (5) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.3-0.9
Games (G-P)12.5-8.210.3-8.3
Aces31.4
Double faults2.82.6
1st serve %70.4%60.3%
Break %59.7%63.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tatjana Maria

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Bianca Andreescu
WTA Queretaro · Clay
1-2 10-14 L
01/11 Fiona Ferro
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
30/10 Valeriya Strakhova
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
29/10 Martina Colmegna
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
27/10 Carlota Garibay Romero
WTA Queretaro · Clay
2-0 12-0 W
23/10 Reese Brantmeier
W75 Saguenay
1-2 15-15 L
22/10 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Victoria Hu
W75 Saguenay
2-0 12-1 W
16/10 Dana Guzman
W100 Edmond
1-2 10-14 L
14/10 Alana Smith
W100 Edmond
2-0 12-5 W

Luisina Giovannini

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Bianca Andreescu
WTA Cali · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
04/11 Irene Burillo Escorihuela
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/11 Maria Camila Torres Murcia
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
28/10 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
WTA Curitiba · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
26/10 Lucia Bronzetti
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 14-14 W
17/10 Lucie Petruzelova
W50 Stara Zagora
1-2 14-13 L
16/10 Beatris Spasova
W50 Stara Zagora
2-0 12-3 W
15/10 Bianca E Barbulescu
W50 Stara Zagora
2-0 12-3 W
09/10 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
W50 Burgas
0-2 3-12 L
08/10 Carolina Alves
W50 Burgas
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tatjana Maria vs Luisina Giovannini?

Our model gives 60% to Tatjana Maria, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.