Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 09/11, 17:30

Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Patrick Zahraj

Team pages: Ozan Baris · Patrick Zahraj

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Ozan Baris Patrick Zahraj
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWLW
Patrick Zahraj 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1485 · Patrick Zahraj 1506
Ozan BarisPatrick Zahraj
Our model47%53%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Patrick Zahraj makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Ozan BarisPatrick Zahraj
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 40% (10) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31-1.2
Games (G-P)10.3-11.611.2-11.9
Aces4.85.1
Double faults34.7
1st serve %68.1%73%
Break %35.7%33.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ozan Baris

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Quinn Vandecasteele
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
02/11 James Trotter
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
01/11 Jangjun Kim
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/10 Daniil Ostapenkov
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
26/10 James Trotter
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
1-2 18-20 L
25/10 Hunter Heck
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
20/10 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
28/09 Braden Shick
Challenger Columbus · Hard
1-2 15-13 L
22/09 Igor Marcondes
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/09 Alex Rybakov
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 13-13 W

Patrick Zahraj

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Sebastian Dominko
Challenger Knoxville · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
26/10 Karl Poling
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
25/10 Govind Nanda
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
19/10 Kaylan Bigun
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
18/10 Shunsuke Mitsui
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
28/09 Alexandre Reco
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
27/09 Karl Poling
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
21/09 Murphy Cassone
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
20/09 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
2-1 18-17 W
14/09 Maxime Janvier
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 8-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Patrick Zahraj?

Our model gives 59% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.