Tennis · UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · 10/11, 00:00

Prediction: Chiara Di Tommaso vs Katy Dunne

Team pages: Chiara Di Tommaso

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Chiara Di Tommaso Katy Dunne
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Chiara Di Tommaso 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWWLLW
Katy Dunne 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chiara Di Tommaso 1509 · Katy Dunne 1446
Chiara Di TommasoKaty Dunne
Our model59%41%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chiara Di Tommaso (rating 1509 vs 1446).
  • Note: Chiara Di Tommaso makes many double faults (5.8/match).
  • Note: Katy Dunne makes many double faults (5.2/match).

Statistics

Chiara Di TommasoKaty Dunne
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 56% (9) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.1-10.9-1.4
Games (G-P)8.7-7.610.4-11.4
Aces0.60.8
Double faults5.85.2
1st serve %60.9%56.2%
Break %66.8%52.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chiara Di Tommaso

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Elizabeth Nad
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
12/09 Violet Apisah
UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
10/09 Eva Lopez
UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
08/09 Emily Johnson
UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
07/09 Kai Ning Chanya Ng
UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
12/05 Kamonwan Yodpetch
W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
06/05 Naho Sato
W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
04/05 Polina Bershteyn
W15 Nakhon Pathom · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
03/05 Taleia Tuatao
W15 Nakhon Pathom Qual · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
11/03 Elena Micic
W35 Timaru
1-2 11-12 L

Katy Dunne

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/11 Ashleigh Harvey
UTR Pro Gold Coast Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 11-13 L
07/06 Momoko Kobori
WTA Ilkley · Grass
0-2 7-13 L
19/05 Raluca Georgiana Serban
W100 Takasaki · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
12/05 Lizette Cabrera
W75 Kurume · ~Carpet
1-2 13-17 L
07/05 Alicia Dudeney
W35 Nottingham
0-2 7-12 L
05/05 Marie Weckerle
W35 Nottingham
2-0 13-7 W
30/04 Amelia Rajecki
W35 Nottingham
0-2 12-14 L
28/04 Julia Adams
W35 Nottingham
2-0 12-4 W
22/04 Jana Otzipka
W50 Roehampton · ~Hard
1-2 15-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chiara Di Tommaso vs Katy Dunne?

Our model gives 67% to Katy Dunne, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.