Tennis · WTA Sopo · 10/11, 16:00

Prediction: Alice Tubello vs Julia Riera

Team pages: Alice Tubello · Julia Riera

Prediction summary
Winner
55% 45%
Alice Tubello Julia Riera
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Alice Tubello 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWWL
Julia Riera 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alice Tubello 1596 · Julia Riera 1563
Alice TubelloJulia Riera
Our model55%45%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Julia Riera makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Alice TubelloJulia Riera
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 89% (9) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.61.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11-7.511.7-9.9
Aces12.2
Double faults1.34.8
1st serve %64.1%64.4%
Break %49.9%56.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alice Tubello

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/11 Bianca Andreescu
WTA Cali · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/11 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
04/11 Marina Bassols Ribera
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
03/11 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
01/11 Julia Grabher
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 17-18 W
31/10 Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
30/10 Jazmin Ortenzi
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 14-11 W
28/10 Luna Maria Cinalli
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
26/10 Laura Samsonova
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
17/10 Alisa Oktiabreva
W35 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Julia Riera

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Leyre Romero Gormaz
WTA Cali · Clay
1-2 15-16 L
05/11 Renata Zarazua
WTA Cali · Clay
2-1 13-12 W
04/11 Julia Grabher
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/11 Valentina Mediorreal Arias
WTA Cali · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
31/10 Julia Grabher
WTA Curitiba · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/10 Solana Sierra
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 14-15 W
29/10 Yasmine Kabbaj
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
27/10 Rebeka Masarova
WTA Curitiba · Clay
2-1 13-11 W
30/09 Antonia Ruzic
WTA Adana · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/09 Anna Siskova
WTA Adana · Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alice Tubello vs Julia Riera?

Our model gives 55% to Alice Tubello, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.