Prediction: Jade Groen vs Malkia Ngounoue
Team pages: Jade Groen · Malkia Ngounoue
Prediction summary
Winner
Jade Groen
Malkia Ngounoue
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jade Groen
7-3 (W-L)
Malkia Ngounoue
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jade Groen 1508 · Malkia Ngounoue 1605
| Jade Groen | Malkia Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malkia Ngounoue (rating 1508 vs 1605).
- Malkia Ngounoue is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jade Groen | Malkia Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-9.3 | 12.3-7 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 56.8% |
| Break % | 54% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jade Groen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Hena Cehajic W15 Paris |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Denisa Zoldakova W35 Liberec |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Lola Giza W35 Liberec |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Arina Kostina W15 Essen |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Yuliya Hatouka W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Sandra Samir W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/09 | Leonie Rabl W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Valeriia Derevyankina W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Malkia Ngounoue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Leonie Schuknecht W15 Paris |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Rikke De Koning UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/10 | Nina Kruijer UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Valentina Khrebtova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/10 | Aurora Urso UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Aneta Poborilova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/10 | Jordina Font UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/10 | Anna Burchak W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 30/09 | Alba Maria Coromina Boluda W35 Baza |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Anna Cabassers Morros W35 Baza |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jade Groen vs Malkia Ngounoue?
Our model gives 54% to Malkia Ngounoue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.