Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 09/11, 14:00
Prediction: Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain
Team pages: Calvin Hemery · Lucas Poullain
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Hemery
Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Hemery
8-2 (W-L)
Lucas Poullain
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Hemery 1519 · Lucas Poullain 1558
| Calvin Hemery | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Calvin Hemery | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.3 | 11.7-9.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.6% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 28.5% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Robin Catry Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/10 | Adrien Gobat Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Marlon Vankan M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Pierre Delage Challenger Orleans · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Jerome Kym Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/11 | Yannik Kelm Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Tomas Lanik Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Timeo Trufelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Hemery vs Lucas Poullain?
Our model gives 55% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.