Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 10/11, 04:00
Prediction: Mili Poljicak vs Kaichi Uchida
Team pages: Mili Poljicak · Kaichi Uchida
Prediction summary
Winner
Mili Poljicak
Kaichi Uchida
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mili Poljicak
4-6 (W-L)
Kaichi Uchida
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mili Poljicak 1432 · Kaichi Uchida 1435
| Mili Poljicak | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mili Poljicak | Kaichi Uchida | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 30% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 0.8-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.2-12.8 | 10-11.8 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.1% | 73% |
| Break % | 22.1% | 25.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mili Poljicak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Sho Shimabukuro Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/10 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 13/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Villena · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 04/10 | Patrick Brady Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Max Basing Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Matej Dodig Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Augsburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Kaichi Uchida
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Chun-Chien Hou Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/10 | Harold Mayot Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Jesse Delaney Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Federico Cina ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mili Poljicak vs Kaichi Uchida?
Our model gives 61% to Mili Poljicak, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.