Tennis · ATP Stockholm · 10/11, 11:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys
Team pages: Lorenzo Sonego · Quentin Halys
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Sonego
Quentin Halys
Estimated games
24.8Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Sonego
4-6 (W-L)
Quentin Halys
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Sonego
1–1
Quentin Halys
(2 last)
- 10 Jun1-2 16-19L
- 18 Apr2-1 17-17W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Sonego 1539 · Quentin Halys 1516
| Lorenzo Sonego | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 16.6 aces and 48.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Sonego | Quentin Halys | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.2 | 14.3-14.3 |
| Aces | 9.3 | 16.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 75.7% | 82% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.8 · Bet365 line 24.5
Over 24.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Lorenzo Sonego 1 – 1 Quentin Halys (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Sonego 1–1 Quentin Halys
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/06/25 ATP Stuttgart | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 18/04/23 ATP Munich | 2-1 | 17-17 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Sonego
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/11 | Olle Wallin ATP Stockholm · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/11 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Jaume Munar ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Vienna · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Moise Kouame ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 28/09 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Quentin Halys
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Tommy Paul ATP Paris · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/11 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Paris · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 03/11 | Arthur Fery ATP Paris · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/10 | Holger Rune ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Alexander Zverev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 09/10 | Alexander Blockx ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Coleman Wong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Ignacio Buse ATP Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Roman Safiullin ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Sonego vs Quentin Halys?
Our model gives 51% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.