Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 09/11, 23:00
Prediction: Tommy Edwards vs Nathan Mansfield
Team pages: Tommy Edwards
Prediction summary
Winner
Tommy Edwards
Nathan Mansfield
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Tommy Edwards
6-4 (W-L)
Nathan Mansfield
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tommy Edwards 1529 · Nathan Mansfield 1398
| Tommy Edwards | Nathan Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommy Edwards (rating 1529 vs 1398).
- Tommy Edwards is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Tommy Edwards | Nathan Mansfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 0% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-8.9 | 7.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 1.9 | – |
| Double faults | 3.3 | – |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | – |
| Break % | 52.6% | – |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tommy Edwards
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Julius Seifert UTR Pro Boise · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/02 | Graeme Angus UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/02 | Yair Sarouk UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/02 | Petro Kuzmenok UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/02 | Arjun Prabhakar UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/02 | Mauricio Echazu UTR Pro Houston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/01 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/01 | Justas Trainauskas UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/01 | Blake Hilsen UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/01 | Logan Zapp UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Nathan Mansfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Mihai Alexandru Coman UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Miguel Semedo UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Oriol Font UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Leonid Sheyngezikht UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Cian McDonnell UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Ondrej Hujo UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Aleksandar Mitev UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Juliusz Bienkiewicz UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Leevi Saatela UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Karol Filar UTR Pro Krakow · Carpet |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tommy Edwards vs Nathan Mansfield?
Our model gives 64% to Tommy Edwards, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.