Tennis · UTR Pro Houston · 09/11, 21:30
Prediction: Andrew Li vs Otso Martikainen
Team pages: Andrew Li
Prediction summary
Winner
Andrew Li
Otso Martikainen
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andrew Li
7-3 (W-L)
Otso Martikainen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andrew Li 1528 · Otso Martikainen 1488
| Andrew Li | Otso Martikainen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrew Li (rating 1528 vs 1488).
Statistics
| Andrew Li | Otso Martikainen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.1 | 10.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 67% |
| Break % | 48.7% | 34.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andrew Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | JP Day UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/04 | Evan Shamlian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/04 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 08/04 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/04 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/03 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Otso Martikainen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Louis Larue M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Rahul Dhokia M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 04/05 | Rodrigo Leal M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Samuel D F Garcia UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Sander Juuhl Sivertsen UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/04 | Bruno Ouvidor UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Roy Keegan UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Diego Fernandez Flores UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/04 | Roland Stuurman UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/04 | Cas de Ruiter UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andrew Li vs Otso Martikainen?
Our model gives 57% to Andrew Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.