Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 09/11, 14:30
Prediction: Toufik Sahtali vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Toufik Sahtali · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Toufik Sahtali
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Toufik Sahtali
5-5 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Toufik Sahtali
1–0
Nikolai Barsukov
(1 last)
- 04 Mar2-1 14-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Toufik Sahtali 1539 · Nikolai Barsukov 1462
| Toufik Sahtali | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toufik Sahtali (rating 1539 vs 1462).
- Head-to-head: Toufik Sahtali 1–0 Nikolai Barsukov (1).
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Nikolai Barsukov makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Toufik Sahtali | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.6 | 11.5-12.6 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 52.2% | 32.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Toufik Sahtali 1 – 0 Nikolai Barsukov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toufik Sahtali 1–0 Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/03/26 M15 Monastir | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toufik Sahtali
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Jiri Cizek Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/11 | Wissam Abderrahman M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Giulio Perego M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 03/11 | Eneko R Perez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Daniil Varaksa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | Corentin Denolly M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Kael Shalin Shah M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Chetanna Amadike M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Nikolai Barsukov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Marcus Walters Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/11 | Maxence Rivet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Malta |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toufik Sahtali vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 57% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.