Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Bueno vs Thiago Seyboth Wild
Team pages: Gonzalo Bueno · Thiago Seyboth Wild
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Bueno
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Bueno
5-5 (W-L)
Thiago Seyboth Wild
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Bueno
0–3
Thiago Seyboth Wild
(3 last)
- 09 Mar0-2 8-13L
- 09 Jan0-2 5-12L
- 02 Jan0-2 1-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Bueno 1516 · Thiago Seyboth Wild 1662
| Gonzalo Bueno | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Seyboth Wild (rating 1516 vs 1662).
- Thiago Seyboth Wild dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 48.3% break avg.
- Thiago Seyboth Wild is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Bueno 0–3 Thiago Seyboth Wild (3).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Bueno | Thiago Seyboth Wild | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.9-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-12 | 13.2-8.4 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 78% |
| Break % | 46% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
H2H · Gonzalo Bueno 0 – 3 Thiago Seyboth Wild (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Bueno 0–3 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/23 Challenger Santiago | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/01/23 Challenger Tigre Qual | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/01/23 Challenger Tigre | 0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Bueno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 29/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/10 | Alex Barrena Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Maximo Zeitune Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Seville · Clay |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Thiago Seyboth Wild
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/11 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/11 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Francisco Comesana Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 17/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/10 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Bueno vs Thiago Seyboth Wild?
Our model gives 77% to Thiago Seyboth Wild, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.