Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 09/11, 14:30
Prediction: Semen Pankin vs Maxime Janvier
Team pages: Semen Pankin · Maxime Janvier
Prediction summary
Winner
Semen Pankin
Maxime Janvier
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Semen Pankin
5-5 (W-L)
Maxime Janvier
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Semen Pankin 1482 · Maxime Janvier 1627
| Semen Pankin | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maxime Janvier (rating 1482 vs 1627).
- Maxime Janvier dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 42.9% break avg.
- Maxime Janvier is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Semen Pankin | Maxime Janvier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.6 | 12.8-8.2 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 74.2% |
| Break % | 16.7% | 42.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Semen Pankin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 26/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Maxim Zhukov Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Dominik Palan Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Xi Cheng Huang Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Marat Sharipov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Alex Bolt Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Sheng Tang M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Yinchuan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maxime Janvier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/11 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 31/10 | Adhithya Ganesan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/10 | Seonyong Han M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Shaheed Alam M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Noah Karma M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Ergi Kirkin M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Pranav Karthik M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Jaden Dewandaka Tan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Semen Pankin vs Maxime Janvier?
Our model gives 62% to Maxime Janvier, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.