Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:00
Prediction: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios Vera
Team pages: Juan Pablo Varillas · Tomas Barrios Vera
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Pablo Varillas
Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Pablo Varillas
3-7 (W-L)
Tomas Barrios Vera
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Pablo Varillas
2–6
Tomas Barrios Vera
(8 last)
- 05 Apr0-2 4-12L
- 30 Jan2-0 12-5W
- 16 Oct0-2 7-12L
- 26 Nov0-2 3-12L
- 06 Sept2-0 12-4W
- 04 Dec1-2 13-15L
- 04 Oct0-2 4-12L
- 04 Jul0-2 3-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Pablo Varillas 1480 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1501
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Juan Pablo Varillas 2–6 Tomas Barrios Vera (8).
Statistics
| Juan Pablo Varillas | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 38% (8) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.4 | 12.9-11.9 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 32.4% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
H2H · Juan Pablo Varillas 2 – 6 Tomas Barrios Vera (8)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Pablo Varillas 2–6 Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Challenger Campinas | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/01/22 ATP Cordoba | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10/21 Challenger Santiago | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/11/20 Challenger Lima | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09/19 ITF M25 Trieste | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/12/17 ITF Chile F3 | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 04/10/16 ITF Colombia F4 | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/07/16 Challenger Cali 2 Qual | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Pablo Varillas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Filip Misolic Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Murkel Dellien Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Tomas Farjat Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/09 | Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/09 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Davis Cup |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Tomas Barrios Vera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/11 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Juan Estevez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Nicolas Jarry Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Pablo Varillas vs Tomas Barrios Vera?
Our model gives 62% to Tomas Barrios Vera, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.