Tennis · Challenger Lima · 10/11, 17:00
Prediction: Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri
Team pages: Facundo Mena · Max Alcala Gurri
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Mena
Max Alcala Gurri
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Mena
8-2 (W-L)
Max Alcala Gurri
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Facundo Mena
1–0
Max Alcala Gurri
(1 last)
- 02 Sept2-1 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Mena 1547 · Max Alcala Gurri 1561
| Facundo Mena | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Facundo Mena 1–0 Max Alcala Gurri (1).
Statistics
| Facundo Mena | Max Alcala Gurri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-9.9 | 11.5-7.8 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.5% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 52.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Facundo Mena 1 – 0 Max Alcala Gurri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Facundo Mena 1–0 Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/26 Challenger Porto | 2-1 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Mena
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 16/10 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/09 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/09 | Renzo Olivo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/09 | Hugo Dellien Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/09 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Porto · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Max Alcala Gurri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Elmer Moller Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Braga · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Patrick Schoen Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Dali Blanch Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/09 | Eliakim Coulibaly Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri?
Our model gives 61% to Max Alcala Gurri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.