Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Braden Shick vs Andy Andrade
Team pages: Braden Shick · Andy Andrade
Prediction summary
Winner
Braden Shick
Andy Andrade
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Braden Shick
4-6 (W-L)
Andy Andrade
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Braden Shick
2–0
Andy Andrade
(2 last)
- 30 Jul2-0 12-5W
- 07 Jan2-0 11-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Braden Shick 1471 · Andy Andrade 1565
| Braden Shick | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andy Andrade (rating 1471 vs 1565).
- Andy Andrade is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Braden Shick 2–0 Andy Andrade (2).
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Braden Shick | Andy Andrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12.3 | 11.4-10.9 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 69.3% |
| Break % | 32.6% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
H2H · Braden Shick 2 – 0 Andy Andrade (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Braden Shick 2–0 Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 Challenger Vancouver | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/01/26 M25 Winston-Salem | 2-0 | 11-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Braden Shick
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 21/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 15/09 | Erik Arutiunian Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Andy Andrade
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 06/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Braden Shick vs Andy Andrade?
Our model gives 57% to Andy Andrade, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.