Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov
Team pages: Alexis Galarneau · Stefan Kozlov
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexis Galarneau
Stefan Kozlov
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Alexis Galarneau
4-6 (W-L)
Stefan Kozlov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexis Galarneau
1–2
Stefan Kozlov
(3 last)
- 20 Jan1-2 13-15L
- 28 Oct1-2 14-18L
- 06 Oct2-0 13-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexis Galarneau 1437 · Stefan Kozlov 1542
| Alexis Galarneau | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stefan Kozlov (rating 1437 vs 1542).
- Head-to-head: Alexis Galarneau 1–2 Stefan Kozlov (3).
Statistics
| Alexis Galarneau | Stefan Kozlov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.5-12.2 | 11.3-9.9 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 34.2% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Alexis Galarneau 1 – 2 Stefan Kozlov (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexis Galarneau 1–2 Stefan Kozlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 Challenger Oeiras | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 28/10/22 Challenger Las Vegas | 1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 06/10/22 Challenger Tiburon | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexis Galarneau
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Lloyd Harris ATP Chengdu · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Elias Ymer ATP Chengdu · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Fajing Sun Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Linang Xiao Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Semen Pankin Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Stefan Kozlov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 06/11 | Braden Shick Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Andres Martin Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Colton Smith Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexis Galarneau vs Stefan Kozlov?
Our model gives 61% to Stefan Kozlov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.