Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Michael Mmoh
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Michael Mmoh
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
8-2 (W-L)
Michael Mmoh
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1607 · Michael Mmoh 1554
| Aidan Mayo | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aidan Mayo (rating 1607 vs 1554).
- Aidan Mayo dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 49% break avg.
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Michael Mmoh | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-8.4 | 12-8.9 |
| Aces | 6.1 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 81.5% | 69.5% |
| Break % | 49% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/11 | Alastair Gray Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/11 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/11 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/11 | Duncan Chan Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
Michael Mmoh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jan Kumstat ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Laslo Djere Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 20/09 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/09 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/09 | Karue Sell Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Michael Mmoh?
Our model gives 55% to Aidan Mayo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.