Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy
Team pages: Nicolas Mejia · Jack Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Mejia
Jack Kennedy
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Mejia
4-6 (W-L)
Jack Kennedy
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Mejia 1455 · Jack Kennedy 1449
| Nicolas Mejia | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nicolas Mejia | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.8-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-13.4 | 9.5-13.6 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 45% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Mejia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 23/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Federico Coria Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Michael Zheng ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/09 | Tallon Griekspoor Davis Cup |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Liam Draxl US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 20/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Jack Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Hynek Barton Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 22/09 | Liam Draxl Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Lloyd Harris US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 8-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Mejia vs Jack Kennedy?
Our model gives 58% to Nicolas Mejia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.