Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Alastair Gray · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Alastair Gray
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Alastair Gray
7-3 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alastair Gray 1554 · Darwin Blanch 1574
| Alastair Gray | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Darwin Blanch dominates on serve: 7.4 aces and 53.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Alastair Gray | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-11.2 | 11.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 78.5% |
| Break % | 33.6% | 53.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alastair Gray
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Valentin Royer Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Lui Maxted M25 Norman |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Luca Pow M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Theo Papamalamis M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 28/10 | Emanuel Ivanisevic M25 Norman |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 18/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Li Tu M25 Austin |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Braden Shick Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/10 | Liam Draxl Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 30/10 | Mitchell Krueger Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 28/10 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alastair Gray vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 63% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.