Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 10/11, 16:00
Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Marcos Giron · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcos Giron
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron
4-6 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1435 · Maks Kasnikowski 1543
| Marcos Giron | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maks Kasnikowski (rating 1435 vs 1543).
- Maks Kasnikowski is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marcos Giron | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.8 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-14.5 | 11.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 4.8 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcos Giron
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Justin Boulais Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 03/11 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Basel · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Sebastian Baez ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Jaume Munar ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 02/09 | Ignacio Buse US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 20-27 | L |
| 24/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Henrique Rocha ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Maks Kasnikowski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Andy Andrade Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/11 | Michael Antonius Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Liam Draxl Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 27/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 51% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.