Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 09/11, 06:00
Prediction: Shiho Tsujioka vs Sae Noguchi
Team pages: Shiho Tsujioka · Sae Noguchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Shiho Tsujioka
Sae Noguchi
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Shiho Tsujioka
4-6 (W-L)
Sae Noguchi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Shiho Tsujioka
1–4
Sae Noguchi
(5 last)
- 26 Jun0-2 6-12L
- 28 May1-2 10-15L
- 28 Dec0-2 5-12L
- 17 Aug2-1 14-14W
- 27 Jul1-2 12-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shiho Tsujioka 1487 · Sae Noguchi 1574
| Shiho Tsujioka | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1487 vs 1574).
- Head-to-head: Shiho Tsujioka 1–4 Sae Noguchi (5).
Statistics
| Shiho Tsujioka | Sae Noguchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.6 | 10.9-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.8% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 55.4% | 46.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
H2H · Shiho Tsujioka 1 – 4 Sae Noguchi (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Shiho Tsujioka 1–4 Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 W15 Sapporo | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/05/26 W15 Fukui | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 28/12/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/08/25 UTR Pro Yokohama Women | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/07/25 UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shiho Tsujioka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/11 | Kurea Hayasaka W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 04/11 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/11 | Yuka Matsumoto W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Yujia Huang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Arina Varaksina W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/06 | Sae Noguchi W15 Sapporo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Sae Noguchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Kanon Sawashiro W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Jiangxue Han W35 Hamamatsu |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/10 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Himari Sato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Nana Onozawa W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shiho Tsujioka vs Sae Noguchi?
Our model gives 58% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.