Tennis · W50 Yokohama · 09/11, 01:30
Prediction: Kayo Nishimura vs Chia Yi Tsao
Team pages: Kayo Nishimura · Chia Yi Tsao
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayo Nishimura
Chia Yi Tsao
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kayo Nishimura
9-1 (W-L)
Chia Yi Tsao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayo Nishimura 1597 · Chia Yi Tsao 1485
| Kayo Nishimura | Chia Yi Tsao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayo Nishimura (rating 1597 vs 1485).
- Kayo Nishimura is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Kayo Nishimura | Chia Yi Tsao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.4 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9 | 9.5-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 60.4% |
| Break % | 56.7% | 41.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Marie Vogt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 31/10 | Chenting Zhu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Cindy Langlais W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sara Husar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Anastasia Lizunova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Marie Vogt W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sara Husar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Chia Yi Tsao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Ayano Shimizu W35 Hamamatsu |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/11 | Koharu Ito W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/11 | Kisa Yoshioka W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/11 | Riko Kikawada W35 Hamamatsu |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Vaidehee Chaudhari W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Monique Barry W35 Sydney |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 23/09 | Eri Shimizu W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Miyu Nakashima W50 Nanao |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Hiromi Abe W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Yujin Kim W15 Yeongwol |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayo Nishimura vs Chia Yi Tsao?
Our model gives 63% to Kayo Nishimura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.