Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 09/11, 11:00
Prediction: Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Yannik Kelm · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannik Kelm
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yannik Kelm
6-4 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannik Kelm 1501 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1559
| Yannik Kelm | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1501 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Yannik Kelm | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.1 | 11.6-7.9 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 33.9% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannik Kelm
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Lucas Poullain Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 25/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 14/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 13/10 | Pierre Yves Bailly M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Tom Sickenberger M25 Wetzlar |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Aaron Funk M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Deney Wassermann M25 Wetzlar |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Patrick Zahraj M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Metzingen |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Adam Nagoudi Challenger Monastir · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Tim Handel M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannik Kelm vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 64% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.