Tennis · W75 Brisbane · 09/11, 02:30
Prediction: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Belle Thompson
Team pages: Chengyiyi Yuan · Belle Thompson
Prediction summary
Winner
Chengyiyi Yuan
Belle Thompson
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Chengyiyi Yuan
7-3 (W-L)
Belle Thompson
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chengyiyi Yuan 1558 · Belle Thompson 1506
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengyiyi Yuan (rating 1558 vs 1506).
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (10.6/match).
Statistics
| Chengyiyi Yuan | Belle Thompson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-10.5 | 10.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 10.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.8% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 50% | 46.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chengyiyi Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Eva Lopez W75 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/10 | Yu Jun Lin W35 Kunshan |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/10 | Yushan Shao W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Daria Zelinskaya W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Sijia Wei W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
Belle Thompson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Caitlin Baker W75 Brisbane |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 31/10 | Hikaru Sato W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Alana Subasic W35 Sydney |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Dayeon Back W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Sydney |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/10 | I Wen Wan W35 Sydney |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Yuno Kitahara W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Ashleigh Simes W35 Wagga Wagga |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | I Wen Wan UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Lily Fannin UTR Pro Sydney Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chengyiyi Yuan vs Belle Thompson?
Our model gives 64% to Chengyiyi Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.