Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 09/11, 02:00

Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda

Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Ryuki Matsuda

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Masamichi Imamura Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLLWWLW
Ryuki Matsuda 7-3 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLLW
Head-to-head
Masamichi Imamura 2–0 Ryuki Matsuda (2 last)
  • 21 Feb2-0 12-4W
  • 18 Mar2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1466 · Ryuki Matsuda 1529
Masamichi ImamuraRyuki Matsuda
Our model41%59%
Market65%35%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1466 vs 1529).
  • Ryuki Matsuda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Masamichi Imamura 2–0 Ryuki Matsuda (2).

Statistics

Masamichi ImamuraRyuki Matsuda
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.6-1.41.3-0.8
Games (G-P)7.5-10.410.1-8.9
Aces1.82.4
Double faults1.51.6
1st serve %65%66.6%
Break %23.3%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

H2H · Masamichi Imamura 2 – 0 Ryuki Matsuda (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Masamichi Imamura 2–0 Ryuki Matsuda

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/02/22
M25 Monastir
2-012-4W
18/03/19
ITF M15 Kofu
2-013-8W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Masamichi Imamura

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Kazushi Idogaki
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
05/11 Yosuke Watanuki
Challenger Taipei · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
03/11 Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
01/11 Luca Staeheli
Challenger Taipei · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
27/10 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Ningbo · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
18/10 Saba Purtseladze
Challenger Guangzhou · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
06/10 Kaichi Uchida
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
30/09 Petr Bar Biryukov
Challenger Jingshan · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
22/09 Rio Noguchi
ATP Hangzhou · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
14/09 Enzo Aguiard
Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Ryuki Matsuda

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/11 Taisei Ichikawa
Challenger Matsuyama · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/10 Naoya Honda
Challenger Ningbo · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/10 Digvijay Pratap Singh
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
22/10 Pawit Sornlaksup
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
21/10 Mukund Sasikumar
M25 Mumbai · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W
05/10 Yuta Kikuchi
Challenger Wuning · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
04/10 Sergey Betov
Challenger Wuning · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
03/10 Nino Ehrenschneider
M15 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 11-14 L
02/10 Kousuke Ogura
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 14-10 W
01/10 Reiya Komagata
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda?

Our model gives 54% to Masamichi Imamura, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.