Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 09/11, 02:00
Prediction: Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda
Team pages: Masamichi Imamura · Ryuki Matsuda
Prediction summary
Winner
Masamichi Imamura
Ryuki Matsuda
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Masamichi Imamura
3-7 (W-L)
Ryuki Matsuda
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Masamichi Imamura
2–0
Ryuki Matsuda
(2 last)
- 21 Feb2-0 12-4W
- 18 Mar2-0 13-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Masamichi Imamura 1466 · Ryuki Matsuda 1529
| Masamichi Imamura | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryuki Matsuda (rating 1466 vs 1529).
- Ryuki Matsuda is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Masamichi Imamura 2–0 Ryuki Matsuda (2).
Statistics
| Masamichi Imamura | Ryuki Matsuda | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-10.4 | 10.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 23.3% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
H2H · Masamichi Imamura 2 – 0 Ryuki Matsuda (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Masamichi Imamura 2–0 Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/22 M25 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/03/19 ITF M15 Kofu | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Masamichi Imamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Kazushi Idogaki Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/11 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Taipei · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Rio Noguchi ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Enzo Aguiard Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ryuki Matsuda
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Naoya Honda Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Pawit Sornlaksup M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Sergey Betov Challenger Wuning · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Kousuke Ogura M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Masamichi Imamura vs Ryuki Matsuda?
Our model gives 54% to Masamichi Imamura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

