Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 09/11, 02:00
Prediction: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka
Team pages: Luca Staeheli · Takuya Kumasaka
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Staeheli
Takuya Kumasaka
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Staeheli
5-5 (W-L)
Takuya Kumasaka
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Staeheli 1547 · Takuya Kumasaka 1553
| Luca Staeheli | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luca Staeheli | Takuya Kumasaka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-7.7 | 11.1-7.4 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Staeheli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Saki Tange Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/11 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Mikalai Haliak M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Boris Butulija M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 22/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Haolong He M15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Takuya Kumasaka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Yuta Tomida Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Ryota Tanuma M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Kentaro Otsuka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Tanagura |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Reiya Komagata M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka?
Our model gives 50% to Luca Staeheli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.