Tennis · Challenger Brisbane · 09/11, 03:00
Prediction: Anton Shepp vs Dominik Palan
Team pages: Anton Shepp · Dominik Palan
Prediction summary
Winner
Anton Shepp
Dominik Palan
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Anton Shepp
6-4 (W-L)
Dominik Palan
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Anton Shepp
1–0
Dominik Palan
(1 last)
- 25 Apr2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anton Shepp 1541 · Dominik Palan 1452
| Anton Shepp | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anton Shepp (rating 1541 vs 1452).
- Anton Shepp dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 41.6% break avg.
- Dominik Palan dominates on serve: 9.2 aces and 53.7% break avg.
- Anton Shepp is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Anton Shepp 1–0 Dominik Palan (1).
- Note: Dominik Palan makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Anton Shepp | Dominik Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-10.8 | 11.4-13.8 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Anton Shepp 1 – 0 Dominik Palan (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Anton Shepp 1–0 Dominik Palan
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 M15 Singapore | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anton Shepp
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Hayden Jones Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 30/10 | Blake Ellis M25 Tamworth |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/10 | Zane Stevens M25 Tamworth |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/10 | Ethan Cook M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Isaac Becroft M25 Tamworth |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 21/10 | Reece Falck M25 Tamworth |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/10 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Zichen Shao M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Yanki Erel M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Taiyo Yamanaka M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Dominik Palan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Shinji Hazawa Challenger Brisbane · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 01/11 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Egor Pleshivtsev Challenger Ningbo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Liam Broady Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 19/10 | Semen Pankin Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/10 | Arthur Weber Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 14/10 | Sergey Fomin M25 Qian Daohu |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Terence Atmane Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Kuan-Shou Chen M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anton Shepp vs Dominik Palan?
Our model gives 66% to Anton Shepp, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.