Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 17:30
Prediction: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Team pages: Calvin Hemery · Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Calvin Hemery
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Calvin Hemery
8-2 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Calvin Hemery 1526 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1485
| Calvin Hemery | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Calvin Hemery (rating 1526 vs 1485).
Statistics
| Calvin Hemery | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.6 | 10-11 |
| Aces | 5 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74.1% | 65.9% |
| Break % | 25.3% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Calvin Hemery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Philip Henning Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Robin Catry Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/10 | Adrien Gobat Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Raul Brancaccio Challenger Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 09/10 | Marlon Vankan M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 07/10 | Niklas Grunewald M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Florent Bax M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Gijs Brouwer M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/09 | Emile Hudd Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/09 | Karl Poling Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Rennes · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Leo Raquillet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 62% to Calvin Hemery, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.