Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 10/11, 11:00

Prediction: Mika Petkovic vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Team pages: Mika Petkovic · Gianluca Cadenasso

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Mika Petkovic Gianluca Cadenasso
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mika Petkovic 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWWLLWL
Gianluca Cadenasso 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mika Petkovic 1564 · Gianluca Cadenasso 1554
Mika PetkovicGianluca Cadenasso
Our model51%49%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Mika PetkovicGianluca Cadenasso
Win %80%70%
Win % · Hard – 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.71.4-1
Games (G-P)13-9.212.8-11.8
Aces3.52.4
Double faults2.13
1st serve %72.7%70.7%
Break %50.9%43.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mika Petkovic

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/10 Oliver Tarvet
M25 Sheffield
0-2 4-12 L
28/10 James Beaven
M25 Sheffield
2-0 12-5 W
27/10 Mark Ceban
M25 Sheffield
2-1 18-11 W
22/10 Oliver Tarvet
M25 Redbridge
0-2 12-14 L
21/10 Billy Blaydes
M25 Redbridge
2-0 12-5 W
20/10 Jelle Sels
M25 Redbridge
2-0 13-8 W
17/10 Calvin Mueller
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-11 W
16/10 Leonardo Rossi
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 David Eichenseher
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-3 W
14/10 Julien Penzlin
M15 Offenbach
2-1 17-15 W

Gianluca Cadenasso

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Jay Clarke
Challenger Taranto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
03/11 Florent Bax
Challenger Taranto · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
20/10 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Florence · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/10 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
17/10 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
16/10 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
15/10 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
13/10 Kai Wehnelt
Challenger Catania · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
07/10 Massimo Giunta
Challenger Palermo · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
06/10 Filippo Moroni
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mika Petkovic vs Gianluca Cadenasso?

Our model gives 57% to Gianluca Cadenasso, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.