Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 10/11, 11:00

Prediction: Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo

Team pages: Dali Blanch · Marko Topo

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Dali Blanch Marko Topo
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Dali Blanch 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWWLLLL
Marko Topo 5-5 (W-L)
LLLWWWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dali Blanch 1444 · Marko Topo 1527
Dali BlanchMarko Topo
Our model38%62%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marko Topo (rating 1444 vs 1527).
  • Marko Topo is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Dali BlanchMarko Topo
Win %30%70%
Win % · Hard – 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.6-10.810.9-10.2
Aces3.93.6
Double faults2.93.6
1st serve %61.9%73%
Break %42%36.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dali Blanch

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Henrique Rocha
Challenger Lisbon · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
11/10 Milos Karol
Challenger Maia · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
07/10 Max Alcala Gurri
Challenger Braga · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
25/09 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Genoa · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
23/09 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
21/09 Sandro Kopp
Challenger Genoa · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/09 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/09 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
13/09 Jan Chlodnicki
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
07/09 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger Seville · Clay
1-2 10-15 L

Marko Topo

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/10 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
04/10 Niels Visker
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
28/09 Petr Nesterov
Challenger Porto · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Porto · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
20/09 Kristijan Juhas
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 14-11 W
19/09 Alexandre Aubriot
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Stefan Popovic
M25 Zlatibor
2-0 12-5 W
18/09 Nikita Belozertsev
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 13-9 W
17/09 Caheer Warik
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 10-12 W
09/09 Vitaliy Sachko
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 6-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dali Blanch vs Marko Topo?

Our model gives 57% to Marko Topo, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.