Tennis · Challenger Lima · 08/11, 20:30
Prediction: Federico Zeballos vs Alex Hernandez
Team pages: Federico Zeballos · Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Zeballos
Alex Hernandez
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Zeballos
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Hernandez
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Zeballos
2–0
Alex Hernandez
(2 last)
- 26 Jun2-1 18-13W
- 17 Oct2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Zeballos 1436 · Alex Hernandez 1523
| Federico Zeballos | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alex Hernandez (rating 1436 vs 1523).
- Alex Hernandez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Federico Zeballos 2–0 Alex Hernandez (2).
- Note: Alex Hernandez makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Federico Zeballos | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-12.7 | 12.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.3% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 20.5% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
H2H · Federico Zeballos 2 – 0 Alex Hernandez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Zeballos 2–0 Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/22 Challenger Malaga | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 17/10/19 ITF M15 Cancun | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Zeballos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Luis Felipe Miguel Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 11/10 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Ergi Kirkin Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Francesco Forti Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Alex Hernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Filip Misolic Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Gray Voelzke M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Zeballos vs Alex Hernandez?
Our model gives 74% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.