Tennis · Challenger Lima · 08/11, 19:00
Prediction: Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan
Team pages: Nicolas Barrientos · Alan Magadan
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Barrientos
Alan Magadan
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Barrientos
5-5 (W-L)
Alan Magadan
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Barrientos 1530 · Alan Magadan 1495
| Nicolas Barrientos | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nicolas Barrientos makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Nicolas Barrientos | Alan Magadan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.6 | 10.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 67% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Barrientos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Sergi Perez Contri Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 30/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Stefan Adrian Andreescu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/04 | Fabrizio Andaloro Challenger Cagliari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/03 | Christoph Negritu Challenger Alicante · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/11 | Juan Pablo Ficovich Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/11 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/11 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 24/11 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Barrientos vs Alan Magadan?
Our model gives 52% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.