Tennis · Challenger Lima · 08/11, 19:00
Prediction: Ryan Nijboer vs Filip Misolic
Team pages: Ryan Nijboer · Filip Misolic
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Nijboer
Filip Misolic
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Nijboer
4-6 (W-L)
Filip Misolic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Nijboer 1494 · Filip Misolic 1550
| Ryan Nijboer | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filip Misolic (rating 1494 vs 1550).
- Note: Ryan Nijboer makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Nijboer | Filip Misolic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-12 | 12.3-8.8 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.5% | 70.6% |
| Break % | 37.6% | 34.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Nijboer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Gagliardo Challenger Villa Maria · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 26/10 | Lorenzo Claverie Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Maia · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 11/10 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Maia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 05/10 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Nico Hipfl Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Alexander Ritschard M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Filip Misolic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 03/11 | Juan Pablo Varillas Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/11 | Mateus Alves Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 25/10 | Martin Baquero Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Felix Gill Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Dominik Recek Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Nijboer vs Filip Misolic?
Our model gives 66% to Filip Misolic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.