Tennis · Challenger Lima · 08/11, 17:30

Prediction: Igor Marcondes vs Ryo Tabata

Team pages: Igor Marcondes · Ryo Tabata

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Igor Marcondes Ryo Tabata
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Igor Marcondes 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLWL
Ryo Tabata 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Igor Marcondes 1518 · Ryo Tabata 1504
Igor MarcondesRyo Tabata
Our model52%48%
Market77%23%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Igor MarcondesRyo Tabata
Win %60%50%
Win % · Hard 63% (8) –
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.21.2-1.3
Games (G-P)12.6-1211.4-11.2
Aces51.2
Double faults2.22
1st serve %69.7%60.5%
Break %54.1%52.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Igor Marcondes

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
03/11 Luis Felipe Miguel
Challenger Costa do Sauipe · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/10 Erik Arutiunian
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
20/10 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
2-1 15-15 W
29/09 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
27/09 Nishesh Basavareddy
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
26/09 Timo Legout
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 20-17 W
25/09 Federico Agustin Gomez
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 16-11 W
23/09 Patrick Maloney
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-1 16-14 W
22/09 Ozan Baris
Challenger San Diego · Hard
2-0 12-4 W

Ryo Tabata

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/11 Oriol Roca Batalla
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
03/11 Juan Estevez
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
02/11 Santiago De La Fuente
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
2-1 17-11 W
01/11 Rocco Valente
Challenger Villa Maria · Clay
2-1 15-11 W
01/10 Jannik Opitz
M25 Slobozia
0-1 6-7 L
29/09 Gabriel Ghetu
M25 Slobozia
2-0 12-7 W
20/09 Svyatoslav Gulin
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/09 Adrian Andreev
M25 Zlatibor
1-2 8-12 L
17/09 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Zlatibor
2-1 11-7 W
07/08 Egor Pleshivtsev
M15 Astana
1-2 18-19 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Igor Marcondes vs Ryo Tabata?

Our model gives 66% to Igor Marcondes, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.