Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 09/11, 02:00
Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs Hikaru Shiraishi
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura · Hikaru Shiraishi
Prediction summary
Winner
Kousuke Ogura
Hikaru Shiraishi
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kousuke Ogura
6-4 (W-L)
Hikaru Shiraishi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kousuke Ogura
0–5
Hikaru Shiraishi
(5 last)
- 12 Jun1-2 13-19L
- 27 May1-2 12-15L
- 05 Sept1-2 10-15L
- 28 Mar0-2 4-12L
- 21 Dec0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1549 · Hikaru Shiraishi 1556
| Kousuke Ogura | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kousuke Ogura 0–5 Hikaru Shiraishi (5).
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | Hikaru Shiraishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-9.8 | 10.7-8.3 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Kousuke Ogura 0 – 5 Hikaru Shiraishi (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kousuke Ogura 0–5 Hikaru Shiraishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/26 M15 Tokyo | 1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 27/05/26 M15 Karuizawa | 1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/09/24 M25 Sapporo | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 28/03/24 M15 Tsukuba | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/12/23 ITF M15 Yanagawa | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | James Van Herzeele M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Maxime Janvier M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Ali Habib M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Seonyong Han M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Hikaru Shiraishi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Riku Takahata Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 31/10 | Yuto Oki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/10 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Yanagawa City |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Yu Tanaka M15 Yanagawa City |
1-0 | 6-0 | W |
| 28/10 | Sho Katayama M15 Yanagawa City |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Hashimoto M15 Tanagura |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tanagura |
2-0 | 9-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Wuning · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 28/09 | Adam Walton Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs Hikaru Shiraishi?
Our model gives 63% to Hikaru Shiraishi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.