Tennis · Challenger Matsuyama · 09/11, 02:00
Prediction: Koki Matsuda vs S D Prajwal Dev
Team pages: Koki Matsuda · S D Prajwal Dev
Prediction summary
Winner
Koki Matsuda
S D Prajwal Dev
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Koki Matsuda
5-5 (W-L)
S D Prajwal Dev
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Koki Matsuda
0–1
S D Prajwal Dev
(1 last)
- 12 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Koki Matsuda 1473 · S D Prajwal Dev 1493
| Koki Matsuda | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Koki Matsuda 0–1 S D Prajwal Dev (1).
Statistics
| Koki Matsuda | S D Prajwal Dev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-12.6 | 9.5-8.6 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69% | 67% |
| Break % | 22.7% | 64.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Koki Matsuda 0 – 1 S D Prajwal Dev (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Koki Matsuda 0–1 S D Prajwal Dev
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/25 ITF M25 Bali | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Koki Matsuda
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Yuki Mochizuki Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 01/11 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Taipei · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Terence Atmane Challenger Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 26/10 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 25/10 | Geun Jun Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 18/10 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 06/10 | Evan Zhu Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Keisuke Saitoh Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
S D Prajwal Dev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Nitin Kumar Sinha Challenger Matsuyama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/10 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-7 | L |
| 16/10 | Thanapet Chanta M25 Solapur |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Arnav Vijay Paparkar M25 Solapur |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Noah Schachter M25 Solapur |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Hunter Heck Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Thanh-Trung Hoang Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/09 | Benjamin O'Connell Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Hanlei Lu Challenger Zhangjiagang · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Koki Matsuda vs S D Prajwal Dev?
Our model gives 59% to Koki Matsuda, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.