Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 08/11, 23:30
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Luca Wiedenmann
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Luca Wiedenmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Luca Wiedenmann
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Wiedenmann
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1525 · Luca Wiedenmann 1583
| Daniel Milavsky | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Wiedenmann (rating 1525 vs 1583).
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Luca Wiedenmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 88% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-11.5 | 11-7.4 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 35% | 50.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 17-20 | L |
| 03/11 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/11 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Joshua Charlton Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/10 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Govind Nanda Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Luca Wiedenmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Robin Bertrand M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Leo Borg M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 15/10 | Kris Van Wyk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/10 | John Echeverria M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Isaac Nortey M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 21/09 | Yanaki Milev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Federico Iannaccone Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Luca Wiedenmann?
Our model gives 58% to Daniel Milavsky, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.