Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 08/11, 19:00
Prediction: Ozan Baris vs Quinn Vandecasteele
Team pages: Ozan Baris · Quinn Vandecasteele
Prediction summary
Winner
Ozan Baris
Quinn Vandecasteele
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ozan Baris
3-7 (W-L)
Quinn Vandecasteele
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ozan Baris
0–1
Quinn Vandecasteele
(1 last)
- 29 Jul0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ozan Baris 1477 · Quinn Vandecasteele 1460
| Ozan Baris | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ozan Baris 0–1 Quinn Vandecasteele (1).
- Note: Quinn Vandecasteele makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ozan Baris | Quinn Vandecasteele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-11.4 | 11.2-12.6 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.4% | 72% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
H2H · Ozan Baris 0 – 1 Quinn Vandecasteele (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ozan Baris 0–1 Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/23 M25 Edwardsville | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ozan Baris
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | James Trotter Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/11 | Jangjun Kim Challenger Charlottesville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
1-2 | 18-20 | L |
| 25/10 | Hunter Heck Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Igor Marcondes Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Alex Rybakov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Quinn Vandecasteele
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Bryce Nakashima M25 Harlingen |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/10 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Michael Antonius Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Sebastian Gorzny M25 Austin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Aryan Shah M25 Austin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Preston Stearns Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 20/09 | Daniil Ostapenkov Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/09 | Bryce Nakashima Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noah Zamora Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ozan Baris vs Quinn Vandecasteele?
Our model gives 57% to Ozan Baris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.