Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 08/11, 20:30
Prediction: Jamie Mackenzie vs Lui Maxted
Team pages: Jamie Mackenzie · Lui Maxted
Prediction summary
Winner
Jamie Mackenzie
Lui Maxted
Estimated games
23.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jamie Mackenzie
6-4 (W-L)
Lui Maxted
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jamie Mackenzie 1507 · Lui Maxted 1571
| Jamie Mackenzie | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1507 vs 1571).
- Lui Maxted is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jamie Mackenzie | Lui Maxted | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 13.7-10 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jamie Mackenzie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Yusuke Takahashi M25 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 14/10 | Corban Crowther M25 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Hamburg · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Elmer Moller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 31/07 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Elmer Moller Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Metzingen |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Tyler Zink M25 Norman |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 31/10 | Alastair Gray M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/10 | Ilya Snitari M25 Norman |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/10 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M25 Norman |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Austin |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Andrew Fenty M25 Austin |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/10 | Aidan Kim M25 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Francisco Rocha Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jamie Mackenzie vs Lui Maxted?
Our model gives 60% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.