Tennis · Challenger Knoxville · 08/11, 17:30

Prediction: Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee

Team pages: Andres Martin · Jordan Lee

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Andres Martin Jordan Lee
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Martin 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLWLWL
Jordan Lee 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andres Martin 1441 · Jordan Lee 1470
Andres MartinJordan Lee
Our model46%54%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Andres MartinJordan Lee
Win %30%40%
Win % · Hard 30% (10) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.61-1.4
Games (G-P)11.4-12.210.4-11.5
Aces4.12.7
Double faults22
1st serve %64.9%62.8%
Break %46.7%36.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andres Martin

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
02/11 Stiles Brockett
Challenger Charlottesville · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
27/10 Kaylan Bigun
Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
20/10 Erik Arutiunian
Challenger Fort Worth · Hard
1-2 16-16 L
27/09 Oliver Okonkwo
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
23/09 Keaton Hance
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/08 Aidan Mayo
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
26/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
25/08 Gijs Brouwer
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
11/08 Andre Ilagan
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
1-2 13-14 L

Jordan Lee

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Keaton Hance
M25 Harlingen
1-2 14-18 L
04/11 Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Harlingen
2-0 12-6 W
01/10 Jonah Braswell
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 6-13 L
29/09 Khololwam Montsi
M15 Fayetteville
2-1 18-11 W
21/09 Aidan Mayo
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Daniel Rincon
US Open · Hard
1-2 10-16 L
24/08 Mark Lajal
US Open · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
25/07 Moez Echargui
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
07/05 Jeffrey John Wolf
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
06/05 Jon Gamble
M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andres Martin vs Jordan Lee?

Our model gives 51% to Andres Martin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.