Tennis · UTR Pro Malibu · 10/11, 22:00
Prediction: Niels Hoffmann vs Zach Stephens
Team pages: Zach Stephens
Prediction summary
Winner
Niels Hoffmann
Zach Stephens
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Niels Hoffmann
8-2 (W-L)
Zach Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Niels Hoffmann 1583 · Zach Stephens 1520
| Niels Hoffmann | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Niels Hoffmann (rating 1583 vs 1520).
Statistics
| Niels Hoffmann | Zach Stephens | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-7.5 | 10.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 52.4% | 54.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Niels Hoffmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Vasco Leote Prata UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/06 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 04/06 | Benjamin Sparks UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Matei Gavrea UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/05 | Ritesh Patil UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/05 | Sean Kamyshev UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Manveer Boparai UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Connor Thomas Doig UTR Pro San Luis Obispo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Zach Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | William McEwan UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/11 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Constantinos Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Piotr Siekanowicz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Niels Hoffmann vs Zach Stephens?
Our model gives 69% to Niels Hoffmann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.