Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 08/11, 14:00
Prediction: Marcus Walters vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Marcus Walters · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Marcus Walters
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
22.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marcus Walters
4-6 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marcus Walters 1519 · Nikolai Barsukov 1447
| Marcus Walters | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marcus Walters (rating 1519 vs 1447).
- Note: Nikolai Barsukov makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Marcus Walters | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.2 | 11.4-12.6 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 0.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 71.8% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 30.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marcus Walters
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Felix Gill Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/11 | Ryan Peniston Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 01/11 | Moez Echargui Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 26/10 | Sean Hodkin M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/10 | Jared Horwood M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Hugo Grenier M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/10 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Nikolai Barsukov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Maxence Rivet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M25 Malta |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marcus Walters vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 61% to Marcus Walters, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.