Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 08/11, 12:30
Prediction: Mae Malige vs Giulio Perego
Team pages: Mae Malige · Giulio Perego
Prediction summary
Winner
Mae Malige
Giulio Perego
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mae Malige
3-7 (W-L)
Giulio Perego
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mae Malige 1474 · Giulio Perego 1565
| Mae Malige | Giulio Perego | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Giulio Perego (rating 1474 vs 1565).
- Giulio Perego is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Mae Malige makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mae Malige | Giulio Perego | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-13.5 | 11.8-8.6 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 64.4% |
| Break % | 41% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Alejandro Moro Canas M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Fnu Nidunjianzan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/10 | Roan Jones M25 Sheffield |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 27/10 | Henry Searle M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Loann Massard M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Melih Anavatan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Giulio Perego
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 04/11 | Isaac Nortey M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/10 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Jordan Hasson M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Peter Makk M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Mathys Domenc M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Tyler Stice M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Mario Gonzalez Fernandez M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mae Malige vs Giulio Perego?
Our model gives 50% to Mae Malige, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.