Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 08/11, 12:30
Prediction: James Mackinlay vs Guillaume Dalmasso
Team pages: James Mackinlay · Guillaume Dalmasso
Prediction summary
Winner
James Mackinlay
Guillaume Dalmasso
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
James Mackinlay
7-3 (W-L)
Guillaume Dalmasso
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Mackinlay 1549 · Guillaume Dalmasso 1493
| James Mackinlay | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours James Mackinlay (rating 1549 vs 1493).
- Note: James Mackinlay makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Guillaume Dalmasso makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| James Mackinlay | Guillaume Dalmasso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.6 | 11.5-12.7 |
| Aces | 5.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 34% | 55.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Mackinlay
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Daniel Masur M25 Malta |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Dmitry Popko M25 Malta |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 29/10 | Alberto Bronzetti M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/10 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly M25 Malta |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Tadija Radovanovic M25 Malta |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Patrick Brady Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Ben Hudson UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 16/05 | Tyler Stice UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/05 | Samuel Zlotnik UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/05 | Cameron Fryer UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Guillaume Dalmasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Mae Malige M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Lewie Lane M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Aleksandr Braynin M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 08/10 | Noah Boutleux M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Roan Jones M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Damien Clerc M25 Nevers |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Hugo Car Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Alex Knaff M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 7-15 | L |
| 01/09 | Julien Dando M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Mackinlay vs Guillaume Dalmasso?
Our model gives 55% to Guillaume Dalmasso, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.