Tennis · Challenger Monastir · 08/11, 11:00
Prediction: Adam Nagoudi vs Pedro Vives Marcos
Team pages: Adam Nagoudi · Pedro Vives Marcos
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Nagoudi
Pedro Vives Marcos
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Nagoudi
2-8 (W-L)
Pedro Vives Marcos
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Nagoudi 1391 · Pedro Vives Marcos 1537
| Adam Nagoudi | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 70% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pedro Vives Marcos (rating 1391 vs 1537).
- Pedro Vives Marcos is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Adam Nagoudi | Pedro Vives Marcos | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 10% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.8 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.1-11 | 11.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 46.9% | 70% |
| Break % | 20.2% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Nagoudi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Hitesh Chauhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Chetanna Amadike M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Ned Smith M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/05 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 28/04 | Gonzalo Le Gentil M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/01 | Petr Nesterov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-11 | L |
| 22/01 | Alberto Barroso Campos M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/12 | Roman Kharlamov M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/11 | Louis Herman M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/11 | Noah Lopez M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
Pedro Vives Marcos
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Catania · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 13/10 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/10 | Sebastian Gima Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/10 | Radu David Turcanu Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Buvaysar Gadamauri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 04/10 | Sebastiano Cocola Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Tim Handel M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Sergi Fita Juan M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Luka Talan Lopatic M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Nagoudi vs Pedro Vives Marcos?
Our model gives 82% to Pedro Vives Marcos, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.