Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 17:30
Prediction: Pierre Delage vs Lucas Poullain
Team pages: Pierre Delage · Lucas Poullain
Prediction summary
Winner
Pierre Delage
Lucas Poullain
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pierre Delage
7-3 (W-L)
Lucas Poullain
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pierre Delage
0–1
Lucas Poullain
(1 last)
- 17 Mar1-2 6-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pierre Delage 1491 · Lucas Poullain 1547
| Pierre Delage | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Poullain (rating 1491 vs 1547).
- Head-to-head: Pierre Delage 0–1 Lucas Poullain (1).
Statistics
| Pierre Delage | Lucas Poullain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.8 | 12.2-9.9 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 73% |
| Break % | 28.2% | 33.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Pierre Delage 0 – 1 Lucas Poullain (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pierre Delage 0–1 Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/03/21 M15 Poitiers | 1-2 | 6-15 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pierre Delage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Niels McDonald Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Ryan Nijboer M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Jordi Garcia Mestre M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M15 Melilla |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Walid Ahouda M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/09 | Maximilian Figl M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Max Houkes M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lucas Poullain
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Jerome Kym Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 02/11 | Yannik Kelm Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/11 | Tomas Lanik Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Brest · Hard |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Timeo Trufelli Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/10 | Tom Paris Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Gijs Brouwer Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Remy Bertola Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Mark Lajal Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pierre Delage vs Lucas Poullain?
Our model gives 70% to Lucas Poullain, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.