Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 10:00
Prediction: Max Houkes vs Robin Catry
Team pages: Max Houkes · Robin Catry
Prediction summary
Winner
Max Houkes
Robin Catry
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Max Houkes
7-3 (W-L)
Robin Catry
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Max Houkes 1570 · Robin Catry 1504
| Max Houkes | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Houkes (rating 1570 vs 1504).
Statistics
| Max Houkes | Robin Catry | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-10.6 | 11.1-10.6 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 5.4 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 52% | 34.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Max Houkes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | Michael Vrbensky Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/11 | Dominik Macej Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Florence · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 10/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 09/10 | Alec Beckley M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Manuel Plunger M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Robin Catry
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Dino Prizmic Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Calvin Hemery Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/10 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Brest · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Philip Henning M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/10 | Gabriel Gomez Challenger Roanne · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 16/09 | Nick Beamish M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Max Houkes vs Robin Catry?
Our model gives 60% to Max Houkes, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.