Tennis · Challenger Orleans · 08/11, 14:30
Prediction: Luka Pavlovic vs Hugo Grenier
Team pages: Luka Pavlovic · Hugo Grenier
Prediction summary
Winner
Luka Pavlovic
Hugo Grenier
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Luka Pavlovic
6-4 (W-L)
Hugo Grenier
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luka Pavlovic 1505 · Hugo Grenier 1489
| Luka Pavlovic | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Luka Pavlovic dominates on serve: 7.5 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Note: Hugo Grenier makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Luka Pavlovic | Hugo Grenier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.7 | 10.8-11.6 |
| Aces | 7.5 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.5% | 70% |
| Break % | 42.1% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luka Pavlovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Jerome Kym Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Alexander Shevchenko Challenger Bratislava · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Almaty · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 15/10 | Mattia Bellucci Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Kangyuan Shi Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 11/10 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 05/10 | Ilia Simakin ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Akira Santillan Challenger Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Sumit Nagal Challenger Taranto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/11 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Taranto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/10 | Moise Kouame Challenger Brest · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Marcus Walters M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 20/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Roanne · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/10 | Bruno Pujol Navarro Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luka Pavlovic vs Hugo Grenier?
Our model gives 54% to Luka Pavlovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.